Saturday, January 30, 2016

Read, Learn, Improve - 30-Jan-16



Why it’s crucial for apex court to listen to Prashant Bhushan’s petition on Reliance Jio - A tiny company trumping giants, an overwritten bank guarantee – the auction of 4G spectrum was curious from the very beginning – Link here

Why an Ex-Google Coder Makes Twice as Much Freelancing – Link here

There’s a time to buy, there’s a time to sell – Link here

The Pakistani stake in over 100 listed Indian companies – Link here

Why Robots Mean Interest Rates Could Go Even Lower In The Future – Link here

34 Charts: This Time Is Different – Link here

Yuval Noah Harari on Why Humans Dominate the Earth: Myth-Making – Link here

Horizontal History – Link here

The Secret of Immigrant Genius - Having your world turned upside down sparks creative thinking – Link here

Pay attention to long-term debt cycle - Ray Dalio – Link here

Why India needs to no longer be an Ashokan republic, but a Chanakyan one – Link here

Bill Ackman Runs an Anti-Index Fund – Link here

WHO OWNS THE SUN? - Warren Buffett controls Nevada’s legacy utility. Elon Musk is behind the solar company that’s upending the market. Let the fun begin – Link here

Why so bearish? How hidden bias is sinking global stocks – Link here

The World’s Favorite New Tax Haven Is the United States – Link here

Market Crashes, Stock Scandals: Lessons From the U.S. Frontier -  The U.S. in the 19th century has lessons for investors looking at China and other emerging markets – Link here

Life hack - smart uses of binder clips - https://youtu.be/7nf_OxIrZN4

 

Thursday, January 28, 2016

Costly typo or more?

5

So if you have used Tinder & Twitter or either of it, you already know about #OnTinderAtTinder. So basically you have nice looking pic on app but in real life you look totally different and its not just limited to female, males do equally indulge into same. Just try it or ask your work colleague ;). Anyway point is, nice looking pic entices you and when you in meet in real life , you are in for a surprise. In Stock market language that's kind of Value Trap, you look at the stock, you see the "attractive valuation" you buy it and then after holding for long time you understand you have got into Value Trap. Valuation were not attractive but cheap and some times stock deserve to to trade at cheap valuation. RS Software is probably Value trap, read on to know more.

This has to be very costly typo or whatever it is, not sure who is responsible for this error – auditor, company officials or somebody who made that particular excel or some secretary who mailed wrong file or did mistake in calculation or company software (so company who made that software would be responsible) etc  etc.

So this company called RS software has been in limelight for giving phenomenal return – 279% over 33% by Nifty over last 5 years…that’s pretty awesome (period from 2011 till 2014)

1

However then came correction, stock corrected from high of ~396 to ~120.

2

And on 23-jan-16 company declared its 3QFY16 results, given below

3

Just look at that line item number 14, showing share of profit /loss of associates – Rs2,009 lakh or Rs20cr effectively wiping up of all the loss company had reported during the quarter. (wrong result copy on BSE)

Now comes the best part or the part where somebody would lose his job & correction in market cap.It happens that it was typo, it was suppose to be just Rs20 lakh or Rs0.20 cr, meaning loss continues (corrected result copy on BSE).

4

As of today company has a market cap of around Rs180cr and cash of Rs125cr....one is probably looking at a value trap.

So  long time ago in early days in my career, I remember during one meeting with a company a senior analyst was enquiring with company management about internal controls, risk management, auditors etc and management was like,” ya we use state of the art system” and analyst probed further like what softwares do you use? I was like what does that mean?…what do you mean by that? And bingo management was pretty much caught off guard and they said we use all original softwares by microsoft ,sun, oracle etc etc the best of the best. And if you know how organization are run, one ought to have ERP, to avoid such (above one mistakes) typos and frauds that anybody may try to commit knowingly or unknowlingly. Needless to say installing an ERP doesn’t guarantee that such thing would not happen.If you understand this software you would know that these don’t allow power to be in single hand. Hence committing fraud always needs more than 1 person, moment the number increases chances of fraud reduces, because not everybody has black heart. Hence we have infosys , HDFC, Unilevers, Asian Paint and many such good names.

 

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Read, Learn, Improve - 23-Jan-16

Read, Learn, Improve - 23-Jan-16



Scene from movie The Reader, very nice movie in case you haven’t seen it do watch it.Its do with….yes…reading….there is kind of secret or twist…that one only comes to know towards the end movie and one may probably feel sorry for Kate Winslet’s character, also how much we take skill of Reading for granted. Please be advised content of movie is A rated.

The invention of farming - The biggest fraud on human kind – Link here


Shaping the Fourth Industrial Revolution – Link here

The more confident we are, the easier—and harder—we fall – Link here

Months after Kishore Biyani deal, Rajasthan's new ration shops still can't beat local kirana stores – Link here

Somebody's Wrong on Reliance – Link here

Secrets of the MIT Poker Course - Can a little calculus make a total novice into a gambling pro? – Link here

The fault in our startups – Link here

Long-term Thinking and Back to Basics – Link here

A Story of the Holocaust and the AIDS Epidemic: The romance of an Indian Muslim Freedom Fighter and a Lithuanian Jewish Woman (Story of Cipla) – Link here

The Big Five: The Media Companies That The Modi Government Must Scrutinise To Fulfill Its Promise Of Ending Crony Capitalism – Link here

Gundlach warns investors not ‘to be a hero’ in this wild market – Link here

How To Spread Love In Your City in the New Year – Link here

Life is Short - reducing bullshit from life – Link here

What does market know? – Link here

Market Macro Myths: Debts, Deficits, and Delusions – Link here

Room rentals v hotels - Buffett’s revenge – Link here

Stock Market Sell-Offs Without a Recession – Link here

What really happened at Vasan Healthcare? – Link here

Saturday, January 16, 2016

Read, Learn, Improve - 16-Jan-16

Read, Learn, Improve - 16-Jan-16



If you are visiting my blog and specially this post that I put up on weekend, you already agree with above statement.

Sorry if you thought there was gone be nice erotic story to spice up your weekend, you might want try googling it ;)

Read, Learn, Improve - 16-Jan-16 

Three Value Investors Meet in a Bar – Link here

Is Champcash app new form of chain-money scheme? – Link here

How GM Beat Tesla to the First True Mass-Market Electric Car – Link here

The Absolute Return Letter - The Biggest Stories of 2016? – Link here

CARS AND THE FUTURE – Link here

Illumina’s Bid to Beat Cancer with DNA Tests – Link here

Silicon Valley: We Don’t Trust FICO Scores – Link here

What’s the better investment: The S&P 500, gold, or an Hermès Birkin bag? – Link here

In Silicon Valley Now, It’s Almost Always Winner Takes All – Link here

The $500 Million Battle Over Disney’s Princesses - How Hasbro grabbed the lucrative Disney doll business from Mattel – Link here

Macro is Hard – Link here

From Quora - "I have Rs.70. where should I invest to get better return?" and answer to it is nothing short of fairy tale – Link here

 

Saturday, January 9, 2016

Read, Learn, Improve - 9-Jan-16



Above pic has no relation to post , yup just to get your attention ;)

Read, Learn, Improve - 9-Jan-16 

Despite the Digital boom, Print Media continues to flourish – Link here

12 business stories from 2015 and how they will play out in 2016 – Link here

The One Question You Should Ask About Every New Job – Link here

What I Learned from Losing $200 Million - The 2008 financial crisis taught me about the illusion of control, and how to give it up – Link here

Here’s Why the University of California Is Getting Into the Venture Capital Business – Link here

Who Controls Your Facebook Feed - A small team of engineers in Menlo Park. A panel of anonymous power users around the world. And, increasingly, you – Link here

Why Economists Took So Long to Focus on Inequality – Link here

Hydrogen bombs versus atomic bombs, explained – Link here

How Scientists Know the North Korea Blast Probably Wasn't an H-Bomb – Link here

India Has Designs on Toy Manufacturing – Link here

Huge currency zones don’t work – we need one per city – Link here

JSW Cement: Unconventional Model – Link here

AMAZON INVADES INDIA - How Jeff Bezos aims to conquer the next “trillion-dollar market.” The inside story – Link here

Thursday, December 31, 2015

Rules for (Happy) New Year



A Few Simple Rules For Money Managers - Advice to money managers from a money manager – Original Article

One of the biggest hazards of being a professional money manager is that you are expected to behave in a certain way: You have to come to the office every day, work long hours, slog through countless e-mails, be on top of your portfolio (that is, check performance of your securities minute by minute), watch business TV and consume news continuously, and dress well and conservatively, wearing a rope around the only part of your body that lets air get to your brain. Our colleagues judge us on how early we arrive at work and how late we stay. We do these things because society expects us to, not because they make us better investors or do any good for our clients.

Somehow we let the mindless, Henry Ford–assembly-line, 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m., widgets-per-hour mentality dictate how we conduct our business thinking. Though car production benefits from rigid rules, uniforms, automation and strict working hours, in investing — the business of thinking — the assembly-line culture is counterproductive. Our clients and employers would be better off if we designed our workdays to let us perform our best.

Investing is not an idea-­per-hour profession; it more likely results in a few ideas per year. A traditional, structured working environment creates pressure to produce an output — an idea, even a forced idea. Warren Buffett once said at a Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting: “We don’t get paid for activity; we get paid for being right. As to how long we’ll wait, we’ll wait indefinitely.”

How you get ideas is up to you. I am not a professional writer, but as a professional money manager, I learn and think best through writing. I put on my headphones, turn on opera and stare at my computer screen for hours, pecking away at the keyboard — that is how I think. You may do better by walking in the park or sitting with your legs up on the desk, staring at the ceiling.

I do my best thinking in the morning. At 3:00 in the afternoon, my brain shuts off; that is when I read my e-mails. We are all different. My best friend is a brunch person; he needs to consume six cups of coffee in the morning just to get his brain going. To be most productive, he shouldn’t go to work before 11:00 a.m.

And then there’s the business news. Serious business news that lacked sensationalism, and thus ratings, has been replaced by a new genre: business entertainment (of course, investors did not get the memo). These shows do a terrific job of filling our need to have explanations for everything, even random events that require no explanation (like daily stock movements). Most information on the business entertainment channels — Bloomberg Television, CNBC, Fox Business — has as much value for investors as daily weather forecasts have for travelers who don’t intend to go anywhere for a year. Yet many managers have CNBC, Fox or Bloomberg on while they work.

You may think you’re able to filter the noise. You cannot; it overwhelms you. So don’t fight the noise — block it. Leave the television off while the markets are open, and at the end of the day, check the business channel websites to see if there were interviews or news events that are worth watching.

Don’t check your stock quotes continuously; doing so shrinks your time horizon. As a long-term investor, you analyze a company and value the business over the next decade, but daily stock volatility will negate all that and turn you into a trader. There is nothing wrong with trading, but investors are rarely good traders.

Numerous studies have found that humans are terrible at multitasking. We have a hard time ignoring irrelevant information and are too sensitive to new information. Focus is the antithesis of multitasking. I find that I’m most productive on an airplane. I put on my headphones and focus on reading or writing. There are no distractions — no e-mails, no Twitter, no Facebook, no instant messages, no phone calls. I get more done in the course of a four-hour flight than in two days at the office. But you don’t need to rack up frequent-flier miles to focus; just go into “off mode” a few hours a day: Kill your Internet, turn off your phone, and do what you need to do.

I bet if most of us really focused, we could cut down our workweek from five days to two. Performance would improve, our personal lives would get better, and those eventual heart attacks would be pushed back a decade or two.

Take the rope off your neck and wear comfortable clothes to work (I often opt for jeans and a “Life is good” T-shirt). Pause and ask yourself a question: If I was not bound by the obsolete routines of the dinosaur age of assembly-line manufacturing, how would I structure my work to be the best investor I could be? Print this article, take it to your boss and tell him or her, “This is what I need to do to be the most productive.

By Vitaliy Katsenelson

 

Saturday, December 26, 2015

Read,Learn,Improve – 26-Dec-15

Read,Learn,Improve – 26-Dec-15



Nice looking girl always catches eye, hence there are hardly any ads without woman/girl in it ;)

The nonsense that is gut instinct – Link here

The most misleading charts of 2015, fixed - how to lie with stats & graphs – Link here

When the KKK Was a Pyramid Scheme – Link here

David Einhorn and Reasons Why Widely Followed Stocks Get Mispriced – Link here

This amazing trash can for the sea could be the answer to the Ganga's garbage problem – Link here

A Short History of Interest Rates – Link here

Warren Buffett Is Wrong: The Bitcoin Proof – Link here

Three Clues for Assessing Management – Link here

Money talks - Has money really changed from shells to digital apps? Underneath, money is always a token of our social relations – Link here

Not everything that counts, can be counted – Link here

Infographic: The World’s Strangest Currencies – Link here

33 Signs that Bitcoin Growth Isn’t Slowing in 2016 – Link here